The pressure from both nations has created a “perfect storm” of problems for these companies, according to Alex Capri, a research fellow at the Hinrich Foundation. He called Didi’s move a “harbinger of [the] increased fragmentation of global financial markets along geopolitical lines.”
A course correction
Moving to Hong Kong marks an abrupt course correction for Didi. Fellow tech giant Alibaba (BABA)
was celebrated two years ago for listing its shares in the Chinese city — a symbolic homecoming
for a company that in 2014 went to New York to launch the world’s then-biggest
Several other US-listed firms, including Baidu (BIDU)
, NetEase (NTES)
and JD.com (JD)
, also now trade in Hong Kong, but none of those big names have yet to mirror Didi’s decision to pull out of New York entirely.
They might be forced to reconsider soon.
Beijing has taken steps this year that seem intended to discourage Chinese companies from trading in foreign markets, which the country fears could pose risks to national security.
In the weeks after Didi’s IPO, Chinese authorities proposed that companies with data on more than 1 million users seek approval before listing overseas
. And earlier this week, the Financial Times reported
that China is expected to “tightly restrict” the ability for companies that use a structure called a variable interest entity, or VIE,
to raise money from foreign investors.
A VIE involves creating an overseas holding company that allows investors to own a stake in a Chinese company that would otherwise be difficult because of restrictions in the mainland. Companies like Didi, Alibaba, Pinduoduo and JD.com have all benefited from the system.
“The light at the end of the tunnel continues to be the train coming the other way,” wrote Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst for Asia Pacific at Oanda, in a note this week. “It is increasingly clear that China is giving the option of Hong Kong or bust with regards to pseudo overseas listings, with the riches of US valuations being closed off.”
Pressure from Washington
Washington has also tightened the screws on companies from the world’s second largest economy. Last week, the US Securities and Exchange Commission finalized rules
that would allow it to delist foreign firms that refuse to open their books to US regulators. China has for years rejected US audits of its firms, citing national security concerns.
While Alibaba, Baidu and JD.com have already hedged their bets by listing in Hong Kong, there are a few big names that haven’t yet followed suit. Capri pointed out that e-commerce firm Pinduoduo (PDD)
and electric vehicle maker Nio (NIO)
only trade in New York, and thus “have a higher degree of exposure than those with diversified trading options.”
“These firms risk becoming pawns in a growing tit-for-tat between Beijing and Washington,” he added.
Shares in Chinese companies have been hammered over the last year as China cracks down on tech and other private enterprise.
There are tensions on the horizon that could make trading in New York even more untenable for Chinese companies, according to Capri. He cited the Biden administration’s diplomatic boycott of the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics
and human rights-based sanctions
against Chinese entities, which he said “could invite Chinese reprisals that would include depriving US financial markets of other Chinese firms’ listings.”
Further down the road, Capri noted that Beijing’s efforts to roll out a government-backed digital currency
could create further obstacles for Chinese companies to list in foreign markets.
“The Chinese state will gain total control of financial data and transactional data” through that program, he said. “Chinese firms, by association, will become suspect for data surveillance and privacy issues. This, in turn, could lead to higher barriers to entry in US and other markets.”