The weekend forecast calls for damaging winds, hail and even tornadoes to some of the same locations just hit by tornadoes and damaging winds less than 48 hours ago.
Severe storms Saturday
The Storm Prediction Center says there is an “enhanced risk” — a level 3 out of 5 — of severe storms for portions of Arkansas, Tennessee and Mississippi. There is a lower a risk from central Illinois through northern Texas and northern Georgia on Saturday into Saturday night.
While a few rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected during the day, the severe weather threat will be most significant on Saturday evening and overnight into Sunday.
Current model guidance is suggesting a line of thunderstorms Saturday night, spanning from the Ohio River Valley to near the Gulf Coast. Wind and hail will be the main threats, but tornadoes are expected with some storms, especially in the mid-South.
The potential for flash flooding on Saturday stretches from the Arkansas-Louisiana-Texas region up through West Virginia due to the possible risk of excessive rainfall.
Sunday storms shift east
By Sunday, the storm system is forecast to track farther east closer to the Atlantic Coast. Nearly 60 million people are at risk for severe storms from Delaware down to Georgia.
The forecast calls for a “slight risk” — level 2 out of 5 — for severe storms in cities like Washington, DC, Baltimore, Charlotte and Atlanta. There is an “enhanced risk” — level 3 out of 5 — for Richmond and Norfolk, Virginia. Temperatures will be in the 70s and 80s and this warm, moderately moist environment helps fuel thunderstorms.
Another concern for Sunday is flooding. Several states have had multiple days of rain this past week, leading to already saturated ground. Through Monday widespread rainfall of 2-4 inches is expected, with locally higher amounts possible across the mid-South.
The highest chance for flooding this weekend exists in Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Mississippi and Tennessee.